The goal of many earthquake engineering analyses is to ensure that a structure can withstand a given level of ground … See more

The somewhat complicated probabilistic evaluation could be avoided if it was possible to identify a “worst-case” ground motion and eval-uate the facility of interest under that ground motion. This line of thinking mo… See more

Given these challenges, it is clear that whatever deterministic design earthquake and ground motion intensity is eventually selected, it is not a true “worst-case” event, as a larger earthquake or ground mo-tion can alway… See more

In this section, we will describe a probability-based framework capa-ble of addressing the concerns identified above. Rather than ignoring the uncertainties present in the problem, this approach incorporate… See more

In contrast to the deterministic thinking above, which focused only on the largest possible earthquake event, here we are interested in all earthquake sources capable of producing damaging ground motions at … See more