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When data gives the wrong solution - by Trevor Bragdon
Sep 7, 2017 · Article Update - It appears the story of Abraham Wald creating a diagram of the plane is not true. According to Tim Harford in The Data Detective (p. 110 of the hardcover edition), Wald “produced a research document full of …
Bullet Holes & Bias: The Story of Abraham Wald
Apr 23, 2019 · In other words what their diagram of bullet holes actually showed was the areas their planes could sustain damage and still be able to fly and bring their pilots home. No matter what you’re studying if you’re only looking at the …
An Important Lesson From Bullet Holes in Planes
Jul 15, 2021 · The Army gave Wald useful data — they had recorded the average number of bullet holes per square foot on planes that had come back from bombing missions. The data revealed that there were many bullet holes in the …
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Survivorship Bias Plane - Know Your Meme
See more on knowyourmeme.comSurvivorship Bias Plane also known as Plane With Red Dots refers to a reaction image meme showing a diagram of a plane with red dots collected on its wings. The image is sourced from a Wikipediapage about survivorship bias, with World War II planes being used as an example of the concept. Many WW2 planes retu…Abraham Wald and the airplane diagram with red …
Mar 24, 2022 · Let's set the record straight: if you've seen this image a bunch of times you have me to blame. Sometime in the early 2000s I stumbled on the story of Abraham Wald who plotted bullet holes on aircraft returning from battles in …
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The missing bullet holes and Abraham Wald | by Chris …
Mar 4, 2019 · When American planes came back from engagements over Europe, they were covered in bullet holes. But the damage wasn’t uniformly distributed across the aircraft. There were more bullet holes...
What Does The Image Of A Plane With Red Dots On …
The image of the plane riddled with bullets is often used as a reaction image to respond to someone who displays a clear case of survivorship bias. A classic example of such an image being used is in response to someone saying that …
aviation - Does the "survivorship bias" airplane …
Jun 18, 2023 · In Ball's book, this type of diagram is illustrated on Page 122, Figure 4.2, visually representing damage patterns on aircraft. A similar diagram appears in the 1991 " Battle Damage Repair " paper, which specifically …
ELI5: What's the meaning of the image of a plane with red dots …
This is a diagram of all of the bullet holes found on returning planes from WWII. With this data, they decided to armor up those locations on the planes, but they were still losing the same …
The Statistics That Kept Countless Allied Fighter …
May 7, 2019 · When it came to fighter planes returning from combat, they were evaluated based on the location of bullet holes they received. Naturally, the U.S. Army Air Force wanted to reinforce these damaged areas with more armor.
Wald's airplane. A hypothetical diagram of known bullet holes in ...
A hypothetical diagram of known bullet holes in returning airplanes, illustrated as red points. Image courtesy: McGeddon, Wikimedia Commons user....
Survivorship bias – lessons from World War Two aircraft
Oct 23, 2016 · So where is it best to armour a plane to maximise its chance of survival? Wald looked at all the planes that returned from missions and saw a pattern of bullet holes like this: …
Why Theory [Explained] | David Burkus
Jan 14, 2010 · During WWII, Allied bomber losses were high, so high that the British Air Ministry undertook a rigorous analysis in hopes of finding a solution. Their engineers set out to eyeball …
Survivorship Bias: What World War II Taught Us About Our …
Jul 22, 2019 · During World War II, a mathematician pointed out his observation, the survivorship bias, that saved tons of resources and lives.
Abraham Wald and the Missing Bullet Holes | by Penguin Press
Jul 14, 2016 · At the Applied Mathematics Group−Columbia, dozens of young women bent over Marchant desktop calculators were calculating formulas for the optimal curve a fighter should …
AMS :: Feature Column :: The Legend of Abraham Wald
Most show diagrams of aircraft that by no means match what must have been involved--my favorite is of a venerable DC3, a plane referred to by the military as the C-47. These served as …
the bullet hole misconception - daniel g. siegel
Wald explained that if a plane made it back safely with, say, bullet holes in the fuselage, it meant those bullet holes weren’t very dangerous. Armor was needed on the sections that, on …
Interpretation - techshepherd.org
Jan 28, 2021 · A hypothetical diagram of the bullet hole patterns observed by Abraham Wald during his analysis of World War II war planes that returned safe from battle. Image from By …
One Man Explains Why WWII Aircraft Were Protected The
Mar 6, 2019 · They were asked to evaluate and determine which parts of the aircraft needed to be up-armored to minimize the damage from enemy fire and lower the numbers of the airplane …
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