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- 70.6% chanceThe probability of sharing a birthday = 1 − 0.294... = 0.706... Or a 70.6% chance, which is likely! So the probability for 30 people is about 70%. And the probability for 23 people is about 50%. And the probability for 57 people is 99% (almost certain!)www.mathsisfun.com/data/probability-shared-birthday.html
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WEBThe question: What are the chances that two people share a birthday in a group of 23? Sure, we could list the pairs and count all the ways they could match. But that’s hard: there could be 1, 2, 3 or even 23 matches!
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Probability of Shared Birthdays - BrownMath.com
WEBAug 11, 2013 · In particular, you can prove that 22 people isn’t enough for a more than 50% chance. Also, 57 people will give you a 99% chance of a shared birthday!
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