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  2. National : President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

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    How are polling averages updated in 2024?Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. AVG.
    What are FiveThirtyEight's polling averages?FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages can really be thought of as two different models: one that measures any biases resulting from the polls’ underlying data-generating process, and another to aggregate polls after adjusting for those biases. There is one last feature of note. As with any model we run, polling averages contain uncertainty.
    Are the 538 presidential general election polling averages live?The 538 presidential general election polling averages are officially live! How 538's new 2024 presidential general election polling averages work. After months of conflict over whether or how to aid American allies abroad, the House passed a slate of bills providing funding for Ukraine, Israel, Gazan humanitarian assistance and Taiwan.
    Does FiveThirtyEight do polls?If there’s one thing you know about FiveThirtyEight, it’s that we love polls. But, contrary to popular belief, we don’t usually conduct polls ourselves — we just collect and analyze them. 1 And all the polls we publish can be found in one place: our polling tracker, which we’ve just revamped in preparation for the 2022 midterm elections.
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